Monday, January 05, 2015

Market Recap (2-Jan-15)

The tone of the US market on the “first” trading day of 2015 was unabashedly awful. The main culprits were Europe and Oil. Stocks opened down and moved lower as the day went by. DJIA fell 331 points, S&P500 37 and Nasdaq 74.
 
European markets plunged as the Euro touched the lowest level against the US$ since March 2006 after Der Spiegel reported that Chancellor Angela Merkel was ready to accept Greek exit in case the extreme left Syriza wins, as polls suggest, the January 25 election.
 
WTI fell below $50 for the first time since April 2009. There was no proximate cause for a 5% drop in oil price but strengthening US$ combined with negative headlines regarding strong supplies from Iraq and Russia could have been the reasons for the sharp decline. Needless to say Energy was the worst performing sector in the S&P500.
 
VIX captured investors sentiment as it rose 2.13 points to reach 19.92. Given the risk-off tone of the market, 10-year treasuries rallied 8bp to 2.3%. Gold also saw bounce.
 
Elsewhere, the WSJ highlighted the political tug-of-war over net neutrality in the upcoming Congress. The outcome could impact a broad swath of industry from cable to the internet. The fight over HCV drug market continues. GILD won CVS for its drugs Sovaldi and Harvoni after losing to Express Script last month to ABBV's Viekira Pak last month. With investors focused on the fall in oil price from $80 to $50, the decline in cotton price from $80 in June to $60 in December has been overlooked. This could benefit apparel makers including GPS, which was upgraded by Jefferies for that reason.